One of the things I love about being this "predestined" technologist is that it requires living in a world that not just requires being in a constant state of learning and teaching others what is out there, but also navigating towards a murky horizon that stays constant for 18-month chunks of time at best. This is mainly due to the well known fact that everything in the technology ecosystem is under a constant state of evolution, and unexpected ripples of change that appear must be adopted into the fold, "...on the fly," as it were. Take "Social Networking," brought to us by the fine folks at Facebook and Twitter - would anybody have thought in 2004 - 2005 (that's not very long ago) they would become such omnipresent forces that they are in today's world in businesses or our individual lives?
Yes, the technology horizon is a moving target, which means anybody who can accurately predict what the "next big thing is" is either a charlatan (most likely the case) or a VERY savvy pundit who can read the technical "tea leaves" to make astute forecasts of what's around the bend.
Mary Meeker is an example of the latter type of technical information analyst. Without directly cribbing my copy STRAIGHT from Wikipedia, let's just say as a technology stock analyst for a few Wall Street investment firms, she embedded herself with the likes ofRay Ozzie, Steve Case, and John Gage among others to get a view of technical vision from "out on the streets," then parlay that vision into a series of eerily accurate predictions. For instance, she foretold the success of the following stocks before anybody else knew who they were:
In 2010, Ms. Meeker and others at Morgan Stanley regrouped and released "Internet Trends 2010" - another study that teed up her's and other's collaborative thoughts on where the tech river may be flowing over the next few years. Click here to read through an interactive presentation that was presented.
I will be reviewing the summarized reports of the "Big Eight" topics the new study postulates, and will sound out my thoughts in future posts. However, I am certain mine will pale in comparison to what her new employer must have thought when they courted her away from her Wall Street firm in December of 2010.
Oh, didn't I mention who that was? She's now a partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers - one of the most prolific venture capital firms in the world. It will be neat to watch where they dabble with their technology startup investments now that she's over there.
Good luck, Mary!